Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000165 0.000178 0.000191 0.000207 0.000224 0.000243 0.000264
2024-10-27 0.000146 0.000165 0.000186 0.000212 0.000243 0.000278 0.000323
2024-11-03 0.000131 0.000152 0.000176 0.000207 0.000245 0.000292 0.000354
2024-11-10 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000204 0.000249 0.000306 0.000386
2024-11-17 0.000111 0.000134 0.000162 0.000200 0.000251 0.000317 0.000414
2024-11-24 0.000105 0.000129 0.000159 0.000200 0.000257 0.000334 0.000451
2024-12-01 0.000100 0.000124 0.000155 0.000199 0.000261 0.000349 0.000486
2024-12-08 0.000096 0.000121 0.000154 0.000202 0.000270 0.000369 0.000531
2024-12-15 0.000091 0.000116 0.000150 0.000199 0.000271 0.000379 0.000560
2024-12-22 0.000088 0.000113 0.000148 0.000199 0.000276 0.000394 0.000601
2024-12-29 0.000085 0.000111 0.000146 0.000200 0.000283 0.000413 0.000649
2025-01-05 0.000083 0.000109 0.000146 0.000202 0.000292 0.000436 0.000707
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000105 0.000142 0.000200 0.000293 0.000447 0.000746
2025-01-19 0.000078 0.000105 0.000143 0.000205 0.000307 0.000481 0.000834
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000100 0.000138 0.000200 0.000303 0.000484 0.000863
2025-02-02 0.000071 0.000097 0.000135 0.000197 0.000304 0.000494 0.000906
2025-02-09 0.000068 0.000093 0.000131 0.000193 0.000302 0.000501 0.000942
2025-02-16 0.000066 0.000091 0.000129 0.000193 0.000307 0.000519 0.001009
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000089 0.000127 0.000193 0.000310 0.000536 0.001073
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000088 0.000127 0.000195 0.000319 0.000563 0.001169
2025-03-09 0.000061 0.000086 0.000124 0.000192 0.000318 0.000572 0.001220
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000084 0.000123 0.000192 0.000323 0.000591 0.001303
2025-03-23 0.000058 0.000083 0.000122 0.000193 0.000330 0.000618 0.001410